Expected fantasy points for every driver and constructor, built from real data — not gut feel.
F1GridIQ's predictions combine public betting markets — which already price in a huge amount of information about form, car pace and how a circuit suits a given driver — with F1's own published data: practice pace, qualifying results, grid penalties. The result is an expected fantasy points figure for every driver and constructor, updated as the race weekend unfolds.
A single predicted finishing order throws away real uncertainty — DNF risk, safety cars, pit strategy calls that don't go to plan. F1GridIQ's simulations model a range of realistic outcomes for each driver rather than one guess, so the projection reflects genuine risk: a driver with high DNF risk and high upside is treated differently from a steady midfield points-scorer, even when their headline "expected" number looks similar.
A projection is only useful if you can check it. F1GridIQ publishes its own Track Record inside the app — real accuracy numbers, round by round, against actual results, including the races the model got wrong. Nothing here is a guarantee: race results depend on things no model can fully see coming, and a projection should inform your team, not replace your own judgment.
Projections feed directly into the optimizer and the driver and constructor rankings — the same numbers, used consistently everywhere on the site rather than a separate model for each page.
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